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TaiidanTomcat

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About TaiidanTomcat

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    Hopeless Recluse
  • Birthday 02/25/1983

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  1. https://www.stripes.com/news/pacific/state-department-oks-sale-of-f-35-stealth-fighters-to-japan-worth-more-than-23-billion-1.636990 Hide your Battleships, folks
  2. “Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray’s case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward—reversing cause and effect. I call these the “wet streets cause rain” stories. Paper’s full of them. In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know.” – Michael Crichton (1942-2008) credibility and trust still count. When people blow a story "only" 9 times out of 10, I'm not worried about the 10th anymore. I simply don't bother. if you understand that and the limitations therein and the audience its geared toward, its fine. its like Maxim Magazine but for defense. Remember Maxim? the edgy and deep and tongue in cheek reporting and "stories" with models wearing clothes in the age of the internet? when you could find just about anything else and it would be better, more edgy, and less clothes? Maxim was PG pretending to be R-rated in a world where you could have XXX at the push of a mouse click. it was "hard core" if you were 12 years old. thats the Drive.
  3. That's not fair, because you can say that about every Rogoaway article. Its like how every Star Trek episode could have the synopsis "a mysterious alien force threatens the Enterprise" or Breaking Bad: "Events spiral out of control for Jesse and Walt as they try to stay one step ahead" like betting on an all black roulette wheel, or unopposed election
  4. Moai is going to win. There isn't enough F-35 debate left to fill over 100 more pages.
  5. I'm honoring them by living exactly like they did, just trying to survive to see June 7th.
  6. It more complicated than that of course. This is how hard you want to attack and sell out to hit a magical number, vs other considerations. Or just good old fashion lying about readiness numbers. One thing that hasn't changed in 10 years of this thread is shoddy reports Here is a little more context, than "oh we give up!" https://www.defensenews.com/smr/hidden-troubles-f35/2020/05/22/the-inside-story-of-two-supersonic-flights-that-changed-how-america-operates-the-f-35/ All aircraft have limits and things it can do, but we really prefer that you don't, or at least not often 🙂
  7. Correct And as for you saying "this comes from the Corps itself" yes and no. It comes from the commandant who was a former Pacific forces commander... so its kind of like the "why if I had my way!" List but then he got promoted to boss and now he can have his way. Theres nothing wrong with a Pacific boss looking at the biggest kid on the block and tailoring his force, but now hes got the whole world to be ready for and is still going whole hog on his old Pacific plans. I can promise you if the CMC fell off the earth tomorrow a lot of these plans would be "adjusted." To put it mildly.
  8. Oh?? I've heard that one before. Never gets old. That's the magic phrase before we get involved in 2 more. So close! Theres already people saying the next big show is going to be central and south America. Would really hate to get smoked by some cartel guys for lack of armor. Mexican Marines got wiped out fairly recently by sicarios in fact. Luckily we would never get trapped in such a silly predicament! The big mentality shift and the danger, is that the Marines who have always prided themselves on practically and realism are going to fall prey to the "we buy big ticket items and sit on them for the ultra sexy mega war that could happen" while ignoring the actual real, violent, pertinent war that's actually occurring. Americas 911 force is now only going to take calls from The west Pacific. And this before we get into the fact that China doesnt need to win with the military. They own NBA we got to see that recently. They own silicon valley. We are for sale, and they have the money, and they're buying us. Why they would mess that up with military force I have no idea. It's a battle of influence and they have more now. The NBA will gladly throw that whole freedom and democracy thing under the bus for the china market. They actually reprimanded employees siding with people protesting for liberty. Theres no amount of military force that fixes institutional rot and subversion, and that of all lessons is one we should have learned in the global war on terror. Turns out theres no amount of shooting tommy taliban that will get a farmer to trust that well bribed corrupt central government we are backing.
  9. Short On Pilots, Marines Debate Size Of F-35 Fleet “Our continued inability to build and sustain an adequate inventory of F-35 pilots leads me to conclude that we must be pragmatic regarding our ability to support" the program," Gen. David Berger says in a blunt new 10-year force design plan. By PAUL MCLEARY on March 27, 2020 at 1:50 PM WASHINGTON: The Marine Corps’ inability to recruit enough pilots has led the commandant to question the F-35’s place in the already budget-constrained Corps’ future plans, a potentially huge shift for the service that first fielded the Joint Strike Fighter and fought harder than any other service to build it and buy it. “Our continued inability to build and sustain an adequate inventory of F-35 pilots leads me to conclude that we must be pragmatic regarding our ability to support” the program,” Gen. David Berger says in a blunt new 10-year force design plan. He calls for an external assessment of the aircraft’s place within the service relative to what he’s being asked to do in the National Defense Strategy and the forthcoming Joint Warfighting Concept, a document the Joint Staff is expected to wrap up later this year. Berger not only singles out pilot shortfalls, but also notes high costs of maintaining and flying the F-35B as factors he’s weighing “in reconciling the growing disparity between numbers of platforms and numbers of aircrew.” The general has been very clear he does not expect his annual budgets to grow at any point in the near future, suggesting the best case scenario is that they remain flat as he wrestles with fleets of aging planes, helicopters and vehicles which grow increasingly costly to maintain. The new document also makes it clear Berger has had enough of the service’s Abrams tanks, which were so effective in Iraq’s Anbar province, but offer little utility on small islands in the Pacific. A series of wargames conducted between 2018 and 2019 led the Corps to the conclusion that the tanks are “operationally unsuitable for our highest-priority challenges in the future,” the document states. While questioning time-tested and iconic weapons like Abrams tanks, and the massive capabilities that the F-35 can bring, “they’re looking at the totality of the force” said Dakota Wood, senior research fellow for defense programs at The Heritage Foundation. “Berger has been very bold in saying we just can’t afford to have small batches of everything,” so he has set out on a path to bear down on what is most critical to fighting a war in the Pacific against a modern Chinese military. The new force design is slated to phase in over the next decade, but the changes will be seen as early as the fiscal year 2022 budget, slated to drop next February. That gives the Marines months to build their case for reimagining the force, which includes buying new capabilities like mobile rocket artillery and long-range fires while scrapping legacy platforms like heavy- and medium-helicopter squadrons and towed artillery. The plan also calls for eliminating law enforcement units, bridging companies, three infantry battalions, and anti-aircraft units. General Dynamics, which makes the Abrams, and Lockheed Martin, which produces the F-35, will certainly have opinions on these moves, as will the other major prime contractors who build the helicopters and ground vehicles and artillery systems to be tossed over the side and the lawmakers who have plants in their states and districts. “Resistance to change is likely to be strongest for programs that already exist and have stakeholders that support them,” RAND analyst Jonathan Wong wrote in a short essay, but the jury is out on how Congress and Defense Secretary Mark Esper will eventually weigh in on these issues. It’s not just industry who will want in on these discussions, but policymakers in the Pentagon and lawmakers on the Hill, as well. “There’s going to be a lot of pushback by people who aren’t up to speed on these current issues who are reaching back to their own previous references of 10, 20, 30, years ago,” Wood said. “Tanks are awesome in urban warfare environments, but if you haven’t thought about the operating environment the Marine Corps will encounter in the near future, these ideas might be difficult to understand.” Berger appears to be keenly aware he needs to bring the rest of Washington along with him: “A certain degree of institutional change is inevitable when confronting modernization on this scale, and that type of change is hard.” How hard will become clearer as Berger and his deputies get out there to evangelize for their vision of the future. Pilots hate him! Learn this crazy trick for fixing pilot and personnel issues
  10. Marines have been a tradition "middle" capable of fighting in big wars along with the big boys while also laying claims to being "small war" specialists. Which works because "big army" doesnt like those much traditionally, And we've had far more "small wars" than super power struggles the last 70 years. No shortage of light units get viciously exposed by relative light armor or even trucks with HMGs mounted. Not meant as a criticism to the other services but the CMC has seemingly succumbed to the "but your little real war interferes with my grand hypothetical war plans!!" Concept Marines have traditionally avoided. Functional not theoretical In 2011 for example the USMC was involved from Libya to Japan (with lots in between) and it took a lot of shuffling to keep it all going. theres a point where not even a spitfire can be in two places at once. Remember that Marines are the odd ones out. We only exist because we're useful, and we cant lose battles. https://www.csis.org/analysis/marine-corps-radical-shift-toward-china Littoral Combat Ship- the service!
  11. Surely theyll have plenty to spare as they slug it out with the Chinese themselves Did you watch this too?? Yeah it's pretty crazy that even in dirt-i-stan the deuce and a halves and Humvees need armor, cant leave the fob without it, but surely that's a crazy outdated concept? It's a gambit and it's a big one and I think it's actually so far afield that the next CMC will be "recentering" a lot. The hemorrhaging of people and gear in exchange for UAV and other not yet invented vaporware is spellbinding. Lastly the symposiums and briefings about China have not exactly been generous in US capabilities if anything a wider range of capabilities are required not betting the farm on the idea of high tech supporting fires will save the day.
  12. not just the Marines, no. is this supposed to be serious?
  13. The CMC has confused a theater strategy for a service wide force structure. The USMC has prided itself on being "America's 911 force" and force in readiness jack of all trades from full on invasions to disaster relief and everything in between. This basically makes the USMC a 1 dimensional cold war force, with the binary logic that if it's not good for China, its not worth having. So all those other inconcenvient wars we have to "bother with" with the last 70s Years, from the Koreas to the Afghanistans are just going to have dial 911 for someone else. Which basically makes the USMC useless for anything other than hanging out in the Pacific waiting for a war that will likely never come, and if it ever did the USMC would massively expand anyway (the USMC in 1941 was 54,000 Marines and ended at nearly 500,000.) And whatever plan or force structure will go out the window overnight. That's about all for now. The internet is alight with everyone pointing out this is beyond x many of this and y many of that. The Marines have just shifted away from over 100 years of its core concept
  14. There's no amount of funding for the CDC that can make for a responsible society. its up to the individual as it always should be, citizens need to be better prepared from the start. if everyone prepped you wouldn't see the run on guns and food and TP. You need to be your own master, in charge of your own welfare not relying on DC budget battles to break your way. The CDC budget could be quadrupled and it still may not have mattered in terms of if people have enough food on hand, or even basic survival preparations. Its "shameful" people are relying on DC bureaucrats to save them. this lesson gets relearned the hard way over and over again. What amount of funding could we have given the CDC to help Europe ? this is about as political as I can get. If I go any further I'll get the thread locked down or banned so I won't A lot of this could be mitigated if people weren't relying on someone to come "Save them" No idea how this changes the landscape going forward, but the limitations of government are already being seen and perhaps people will learn again, at least for a while. And thats not a political thing. People are already doing the hard math that turns out, theres no amount of beds that can handle a stupid population. The safety net will never be big enough. The best thing you can do for your country and the first responders and CDC is to not be a victim. Youre one less person for them to worry about in an emergency. If we all took care of ourselves, it'd be a lot easier to help those who genuinely can't help themselves I'm very bitter because my local and state government had to do things like ban fossil fuels by 2045, and we banned grocery bags for the city (very helpful and super convenient to bring everything in by hand), and we have passed a whole bunch of laws here none of which had to do with the big problems their supposed to be handling. My state per capita has the highest number of seniors in the nations and our concern is free city bus fair. There no infrastructure planning or emergency preparedness. We are worried about banning things 2 and a half decades away. now all these "smart people" have found themselves woefully unprepared for basic things like disease. They don't have the planning or the capacity and they know it. The things they thought mattered just 2 weeks ago look like a bad joke now. I mean the loss of freedoms has been great but the micromanagement has been almost as good. Thank god I won't be using plastic bags, while my neighbors drop all around me. we've had a massive crime, poverty, drug, and homeless problem for years, so my bar was very low already but theyv'e somehow manged to slime even below that.
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